Saturday 19 August 2017, 19:15
Municipal de Balaídos
Full time
36%
25%
40%
Home win
35.6%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
39.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.2% | 5.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.0% | 4.76 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| No | 36.6% | 2.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo / Draw | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo / Real Sociedad | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
6.3
|
5.6
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
5.9
|
11.3
|
8.6
|
4.6
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
5.0
|
8.1
|
6.6
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
4.1
|
3.3
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.6
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Real Sociedad
3-1
Celta Vigo
Oct 2025
Celta Vigo
1-1
Real Sociedad
May 2025
Real Sociedad
0-1
Celta Vigo
Dec 2024
Celta Vigo
2-0
Real Sociedad
Jan 2024
Celta Vigo
0-1
Real Sociedad
Aug 2023
Real Sociedad
1-1
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.