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Sunday 1 October 2017, 13:00 Anoeta Full time
55% 23% 21%
Home win
55.2%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
21.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 55.2% 1.81
Draw 23.5% 4.26
Real Betis 21.3% 4.69

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.13
Over 1.5 81.0% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.0% 5.25
Over 2.5 58.1% 1.72
Under 2.5 41.9% 2.38
Over 3.5 35.7% 2.80
Under 3.5 64.3% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.8% 5.33
Under 4.5 81.2% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.8% 1.73
No 42.2% 2.37

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 78.7% 1.27
Real Sociedad / Real Betis 76.5% 1.31
Draw / Real Betis 44.8% 2.23

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
4.8
3.0
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
8.7
11.0
5.8
2.1
0.6
0.1
2
8.9
9.9
5.5
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
5.6
6.3
3.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
2.7
3.0
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
1.0
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Real Betis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.