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Monday 23 October 2017, 21:00 Anoeta Full time
49% 25% 25%
Home win
49.2%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
25.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 49.2% 2.03
Draw 25.5% 3.93
Espanyol 25.3% 3.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.4% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.6% 15.25
Over 1.5 78.2% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.8% 4.58
Over 2.5 53.9% 1.86
Under 2.5 46.1% 2.17
Over 3.5 31.6% 3.17
Under 3.5 68.4% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.8% 6.34
Under 4.5 84.2% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.3% 1.78
No 43.7% 2.29

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 74.7% 1.34
Real Sociedad / Espanyol 74.5% 1.34
Draw / Espanyol 50.8% 1.97

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.6
6.1
3.9
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
9.2
12.1
6.5
2.5
0.7
0.2
2
8.3
9.6
5.5
2.1
0.6
0.1
3
4.7
5.4
3.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
2.0
2.3
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Espanyol goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.