Saturday 14 October 2017, 19:30
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
38%
29%
34%
Home win
37.7%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
33.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.2% | 10.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.6% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.5% | 9.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Alaves / Real Sociedad | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.2
|
9.3
|
6.0
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.0
|
13.7
|
7.7
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
8.2
|
4.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
3.5
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Real Sociedad
3-3
Alaves
Dec 2025
Alaves
1-0
Real Sociedad
Apr 2025
Alaves
1-0
Real Sociedad
Aug 2024
Real Sociedad
1-2
Alaves
Mar 2024
Alaves
0-1
Real Sociedad
Jan 2024
Real Sociedad
1-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.