Saturday 23 September 2017, 17:15
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
17%
24%
58%
Home win
17.5%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
58.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 17.5% | 5.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.4% | 13.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.6% | 7.36 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Alaves / Real Madrid | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.4
|
11.6
|
11.1
|
6.7
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
11.5
|
9.8
|
5.9
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
2.7
|
4.8
|
4.3
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.4
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Real Madrid
2-1
Alaves
Dec 2025
Alaves
1-2
Real Madrid
Apr 2025
Alaves
0-1
Real Madrid
Sep 2024
Real Madrid
3-2
Alaves
May 2024
Real Madrid
5-0
Alaves
Dec 2023
Alaves
0-1
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.