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Saturday 26 August 2017, 19:15 Estadio de Mendizorroza Full time
0–2
HT 0–0
16% 23% 61%
Home win
16.4%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
60.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Alaves 16.4% 6.10
Draw 22.9% 4.37
Barcelona 60.8% 1.65

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.4% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.6% 15.24
Over 1.5 77.9% 1.28
Under 1.5 22.1% 4.52
Over 2.5 53.6% 1.87
Under 2.5 46.4% 2.16
Over 3.5 31.3% 3.19
Under 3.5 68.7% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.6% 6.41
Under 4.5 84.4% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.3% 1.95
No 48.7% 2.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Alaves / Draw 39.2% 2.55
Alaves / Barcelona 77.1% 1.30
Draw / Barcelona 83.6% 1.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.6
10.8
11.0
7.0
3.4
1.3
1
4.7
10.9
9.9
6.3
3.0
1.2
2
2.4
4.6
4.4
2.9
1.4
0.5
3
0.7
1.4
1.3
0.9
0.4
0.2
4
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Alaves goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.