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Saturday 4 November 2017, 14:00 Mestalla Full time
3–0
HT 1–0
55% 25% 20%
Home win
54.8%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
19.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Valencia 54.8% 1.82
Draw 25.3% 3.95
Leganes 19.9% 5.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.2% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.8% 12.80
Over 1.5 74.7% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.3% 3.96
Over 2.5 49.2% 2.03
Under 2.5 50.8% 1.97
Over 3.5 27.3% 3.66
Under 3.5 72.7% 1.38
Over 4.5 12.8% 7.79
Under 4.5 87.2% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.4% 1.98
No 49.6% 2.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Valencia / Draw 80.1% 1.25
Valencia / Leganes 74.7% 1.34
Draw / Leganes 45.2% 2.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.8
6.0
3.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
11.5
12.1
5.3
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.4
9.7
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
5.9
5.5
2.6
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
2.5
2.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.9
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Valencia goals. Columns: Leganes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.