Sunday 1 October 2017, 19:30
Mestalla
Full time
41%
27%
32%
Home win
40.5%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
32.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Athletic Club | 32.0% | 3.12 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.2% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.8% | 12.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.9% | 7.74 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Valencia / Athletic Club | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Athletic Club | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.8
|
8.0
|
5.4
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.3
|
13.1
|
7.6
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.1
|
8.7
|
5.4
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
4.1
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.5
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Athletic Club
0-1
Valencia
Sep 2025
Valencia
2-0
Athletic Club
May 2025
Valencia
0-1
Athletic Club
Aug 2024
Athletic Club
1-0
Valencia
Jan 2024
Valencia
1-0
Athletic Club
Oct 2023
Athletic Club
2-2
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.