Wednesday 28 February 2018, 22:30
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Full time
71%
22%
7%
Home win
71.1%
Draw
22.1%
Away win
6.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.1% | 4.53 | — | — |
| Leganes | 6.8% | 14.63 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.4% | 8.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.7% | 6.00 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.5% | 15.39 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| No | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Leganes | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Leganes | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.4
|
4.0
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
20.4
|
8.3
|
1.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
18.3
|
6.9
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.7
|
4.0
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.7
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Leganes
1-0
Atletico Madrid
Oct 2024
Atletico Madrid
3-1
Leganes
Jan 2020
Atletico Madrid
0-0
Leganes
Aug 2019
Leganes
0-1
Atletico Madrid
Mar 2019
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Leganes
Nov 2018
Leganes
1-1
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.