Sunday 6 November 2016, 19:30
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
70%
20%
10%
Home win
69.7%
Draw
20.4%
Away win
9.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.4% | 4.90 | — | — |
| Real Betis | 9.9% | 10.10 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.7% | 13.05 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.9% | 7.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| No | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Real Betis | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Betis | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.7
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.8
|
9.5
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.5
|
9.1
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.7
|
6.1
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.9
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.0
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Real Betis
2-0
Villarreal
Oct 2025
Villarreal
2-2
Real Betis
Apr 2025
Real Betis
1-2
Villarreal
Dec 2024
Villarreal
1-2
Real Betis
Mar 2024
Real Betis
2-3
Villarreal
Aug 2023
Villarreal
1-2
Real Betis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.