Sunday 2 October 2016, 19:30
RCDE Stadium
Full time
22%
25%
53%
Home win
22.2%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
52.7%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.9% | 4.38 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.3% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.8% | 6.73 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 46.0% | 2.18 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol / Draw | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Espanyol / Villarreal | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
10.1
|
9.3
|
5.4
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
5.8
|
12.0
|
9.7
|
5.6
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
3.4
|
5.9
|
5.1
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
2.1
|
1.8
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Villarreal
4-1
Espanyol
Nov 2025
Espanyol
0-2
Villarreal
Apr 2025
Villarreal
1-0
Espanyol
Sep 2024
Espanyol
1-2
Villarreal
Apr 2023
Villarreal
4-2
Espanyol
Nov 2022
Espanyol
0-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.