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Sunday 12 February 2017, 17:15 Municipal de Butarque Full time
39% 29% 32%
Home win
39.1%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
32.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 39.1% 2.55
Draw 28.9% 3.46
Sporting Gijon 32.0% 3.13

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.5% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.5% 10.50
Over 1.5 70.7% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.3% 3.41
Over 2.5 44.0% 2.27
Under 2.5 56.0% 1.78
Over 3.5 22.9% 4.37
Under 3.5 77.1% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.0% 9.95
Under 4.5 90.0% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.2% 1.99
No 49.8% 2.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 68.0% 1.47
Leganes / Sporting Gijon 71.1% 1.41
Draw / Sporting Gijon 60.9% 1.64

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.5
9.2
5.7
2.2
0.6
0.1
1
10.5
13.7
7.4
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
7.3
8.4
4.8
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
3.1
3.6
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.1
4
1.0
1.2
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Sporting Gijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.