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Sunday 11 September 2016, 13:00 El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini Full time
13% 56% 30%
Home win
13.2%
Draw
56.3%
Away win
30.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon 13.2% 7.55
Draw 56.3% 1.78
Leganes 30.5% 3.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 49.5% 2.02
Under 0.5 50.5% 1.98
Over 1.5 15.5% 6.45
Under 1.5 84.5% 1.18
Over 2.5 3.3% 30.50
Under 2.5 96.7% 1.03
Over 3.5 0.5% 183.82
Under 3.5 99.5% 1.01
Over 4.5 0.1% 1,369.86
Under 4.5 99.9% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 7.9% 12.73
No 92.1% 1.09

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon / Draw 69.5% 1.44
Sporting Gijon / Leganes 43.7% 2.29
Draw / Leganes 86.8% 1.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
50.5
22.8
5.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
11.2
5.6
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
1.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sporting Gijon goals. Columns: Leganes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.