Saturday 4 February 2017, 17:15
Camp Nou
Full time
70%
19%
11%
Home win
69.8%
Draw
19.1%
Away win
11.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.1% | 5.25 | — | — |
| Athletic Club | 11.2% | 8.94 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.1% | 5.24 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.9% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Athletic Club | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Athletic Club | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
3.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.4
|
9.1
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.2
|
9.6
|
3.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.1
|
7.1
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.1
|
4.0
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Athletic Club
0-1
Barcelona
Nov 2025
Barcelona
4-0
Athletic Club
May 2025
Athletic Club
0-3
Barcelona
Aug 2024
Barcelona
2-1
Athletic Club
Mar 2024
Athletic Club
0-0
Barcelona
Oct 2023
Barcelona
1-0
Athletic Club
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.