Saturday 10 March 2018, 14:00
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Full time
24%
22%
54%
Home win
23.9%
Draw
22.3%
Away win
53.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 23.9% | 4.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.3% | 4.49 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.1% | 7.11 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| No | 35.0% | 2.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar / Draw | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Eibar / Real Madrid | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
6.3
|
7.1
|
4.9
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
| 1 |
3.9
|
9.7
|
9.5
|
6.5
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
| 2 |
3.0
|
6.1
|
6.3
|
4.4
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
2.7
|
2.8
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Real Madrid
2-0
Eibar
Dec 2020
Eibar
1-3
Real Madrid
Jun 2020
Real Madrid
3-1
Eibar
Nov 2019
Eibar
0-4
Real Madrid
Apr 2019
Real Madrid
2-1
Eibar
Nov 2018
Eibar
3-0
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.