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Tuesday 27 February 2018, 21:00 RCDE Stadium Full time
19% 23% 58%
Home win
19.4%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
57.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 19.4% 5.17
Draw 23.0% 4.34
Real Madrid 57.6% 1.74

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.70
Over 1.5 80.5% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.5% 5.14
Over 2.5 57.4% 1.74
Under 2.5 42.6% 2.35
Over 3.5 35.0% 2.86
Under 3.5 65.0% 1.54
Over 4.5 18.3% 5.47
Under 4.5 81.7% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.2% 1.78
No 43.8% 2.28

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 42.4% 2.36
Espanyol / Real Madrid 77.0% 1.30
Draw / Real Madrid 80.6% 1.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
9.2
9.5
6.2
3.0
1.2
1
4.7
10.8
9.9
6.4
3.1
1.2
2
2.8
5.4
5.2
3.4
1.6
0.6
3
1.0
1.9
1.8
1.2
0.6
0.2
4
0.3
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.1
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Real Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.