Sunday 18 February 2018, 19:30
RCDE Stadium
Full time
30%
31%
39%
Home win
30.3%
Draw
31.1%
Away win
38.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.1% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.5% | 7.99 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.0% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.0% | 5.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.7% | 15.02 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol / Draw | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Espanyol / Villarreal | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.5
|
12.7
|
7.8
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.8
|
14.2
|
7.7
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.7
|
6.6
|
3.8
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
2.2
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Villarreal
4-1
Espanyol
Nov 2025
Espanyol
0-2
Villarreal
Apr 2025
Villarreal
1-0
Espanyol
Sep 2024
Espanyol
1-2
Villarreal
Apr 2023
Villarreal
4-2
Espanyol
Nov 2022
Espanyol
0-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.