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Sunday 4 February 2018, 17:15 RCDE Stadium Full time
1–1
HT 0–0
11% 19% 70%
Home win
10.7%
Draw
19.1%
Away win
70.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 10.7% 9.38
Draw 19.1% 5.23
Barcelona 70.2% 1.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.2% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.8% 17.33
Over 1.5 79.8% 1.25
Under 1.5 20.2% 4.95
Over 2.5 56.5% 1.77
Under 2.5 43.5% 2.30
Over 3.5 34.1% 2.94
Under 3.5 65.9% 1.52
Over 4.5 17.6% 5.69
Under 4.5 82.4% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.2% 2.12
No 52.8% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 29.8% 3.36
Espanyol / Barcelona 80.9% 1.24
Draw / Barcelona 89.3% 1.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.8
11.1
12.7
9.4
5.1
2.3
1
3.4
9.1
9.5
7.0
3.8
1.7
2
1.5
3.2
3.5
2.6
1.4
0.6
3
0.4
0.8
0.9
0.6
0.4
0.2
4
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.