Monday 8 January 2018, 22:00
La Rosaleda
Full time
36%
31%
33%
Home win
36.2%
Draw
31.1%
Away win
32.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.1% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.5% | 8.03 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.1% | 5.85 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.7% | 14.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| No | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Malaga / Espanyol | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.5
|
11.3
|
6.3
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.1
|
14.3
|
7.0
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
7.5
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
2.8
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.