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Monday 11 December 2017, 22:00 RCDE Stadium Full time
0–1
HT 0–1
43% 28% 29%
Home win
42.7%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
28.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 42.7% 2.34
Draw 28.4% 3.52
Girona 28.9% 3.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.7% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.3% 10.77
Over 1.5 71.3% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.7% 3.48
Over 2.5 44.7% 2.24
Under 2.5 55.3% 1.81
Over 3.5 23.5% 4.26
Under 3.5 76.5% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.4% 9.62
Under 4.5 89.6% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.3% 1.99
No 49.7% 2.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 71.1% 1.41
Espanyol / Girona 71.6% 1.40
Draw / Girona 57.3% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.3
8.5
5.0
1.8
0.5
0.1
1
11.0
13.5
6.9
2.5
0.7
0.1
2
8.1
8.8
4.8
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
3.7
4.0
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.3
1.4
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Girona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.