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Sunday 14 January 2018, 21:45 Anoeta Full time
13% 17% 70%
Home win
12.9%
Draw
17.4%
Away win
69.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 12.9% 7.73
Draw 17.4% 5.76
Barcelona 69.7% 1.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.9% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.1% 32.33
Over 1.5 88.1% 1.13
Under 1.5 11.9% 8.42
Over 2.5 70.2% 1.42
Under 2.5 29.8% 3.36
Over 3.5 49.0% 2.04
Under 3.5 51.0% 1.96
Over 4.5 29.9% 3.35
Under 4.5 70.1% 1.43

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.6% 1.65
No 39.4% 2.54

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 30.3% 3.30
Real Sociedad / Barcelona 82.6% 1.21
Draw / Barcelona 87.1% 1.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.1
6.4
8.8
7.6
4.9
2.5
1
2.4
7.6
9.3
8.0
5.1
2.6
2
1.5
3.8
4.9
4.2
2.7
1.4
3
0.5
1.3
1.7
1.5
0.9
0.5
4
0.1
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.