Skip to content
Sunday 11 September 2016, 17:00 Mestalla Full time
3% 19% 78%
Home win
3.5%
Draw
18.9%
Away win
77.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Valencia 3.5% 28.93
Draw 18.9% 5.29
Real Betis 77.7% 1.29

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.1% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.9% 7.76
Over 1.5 61.7% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.3% 2.61
Over 2.5 34.3% 2.91
Under 2.5 65.7% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.6% 6.39
Under 3.5 84.4% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.0% 16.80
Under 4.5 94.0% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 17.0% 5.87
No 83.0% 1.21

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Valencia / Draw 22.3% 4.47
Valencia / Real Betis 81.1% 1.23
Draw / Real Betis 96.5% 1.04

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.9
23.0
21.6
13.3
6.2
2.3
1
2.5
5.5
4.8
2.9
1.4
0.5
2
0.3
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Valencia goals. Columns: Real Betis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.