Sunday 27 November 2016, 21:45
Anoeta
Full time
42%
24%
34%
Home win
41.9%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
34.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Barcelona | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.0% | 25.16 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.3% | 7.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.3% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| No | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad / Draw | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad / Barcelona | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Barcelona | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.0
|
4.9
|
4.4
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
5.5
|
10.3
|
7.8
|
4.1
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.4
|
8.6
|
6.9
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
5.1
|
4.1
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
2.3
|
1.8
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Real Sociedad
2-1
Barcelona
Sep 2025
Barcelona
2-1
Real Sociedad
Mar 2025
Barcelona
4-0
Real Sociedad
Nov 2024
Real Sociedad
1-0
Barcelona
May 2024
Barcelona
2-0
Real Sociedad
Nov 2023
Real Sociedad
0-1
Barcelona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.