Saturday 1 April 2017, 14:00
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
54%
28%
18%
Home win
54.3%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
17.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Eibar | 17.9% | 5.59 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.5% | 8.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.6% | 5.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.6% | 13.21 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| No | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Eibar | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Eibar | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.5
|
7.3
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.3
|
12.6
|
4.4
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.9
|
8.8
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.2
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Eibar
1-3
Villarreal
Sep 2020
Villarreal
2-1
Eibar
Jul 2020
Villarreal
4-0
Eibar
Oct 2019
Eibar
2-1
Villarreal
May 2019
Villarreal
1-0
Eibar
Jan 2019
Eibar
0-0
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.