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Saturday 18 March 2017, 14:00 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
46% 26% 28%
Home win
46.0%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
28.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 46.0% 2.17
Draw 25.8% 3.88
Espanyol 28.2% 3.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.6% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.4% 15.64
Over 1.5 78.6% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.4% 4.68
Over 2.5 54.6% 1.83
Under 2.5 45.4% 2.20
Over 3.5 32.2% 3.10
Under 3.5 67.8% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.2% 6.16
Under 4.5 83.8% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.7% 1.73
No 42.3% 2.36

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 71.8% 1.39
Eibar / Espanyol 74.2% 1.35
Draw / Espanyol 54.0% 1.85

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.4
6.3
4.3
1.8
0.5
0.1
1
8.6
12.2
7.1
2.9
0.9
0.2
2
7.6
9.4
5.8
2.4
0.7
0.2
3
4.1
5.1
3.1
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
1.7
2.1
1.3
0.5
0.2
0.0
5
0.6
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Espanyol goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.