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Tuesday 25 September 2018, 21:00 RCDE Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
42% 32% 27%
Home win
41.5%
Draw
31.6%
Away win
26.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 41.5% 2.41
Draw 31.6% 3.16
Eibar 26.9% 3.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.2% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.8% 7.26
Over 1.5 61.3% 1.63
Under 1.5 38.7% 2.58
Over 2.5 33.5% 2.99
Under 2.5 66.5% 1.50
Over 3.5 15.0% 6.65
Under 3.5 85.0% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.7% 17.70
Under 4.5 94.4% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.0% 2.44
No 59.0% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 73.1% 1.37
Espanyol / Eibar 68.4% 1.46
Draw / Eibar 58.5% 1.71

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.8
10.6
5.0
1.5
0.3
0.1
1
14.3
14.1
5.8
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
8.8
7.7
3.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
3.4
3.0
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Eibar goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.