Sunday 2 September 2018, 17:15
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
38%
34%
29%
Home win
37.5%
Draw
33.9%
Away win
28.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 37.5% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 28.6% | 3.49 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.6% | 6.01 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.6% | 8.64 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.0% | 25.25 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| No | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Alaves / Espanyol | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.6
|
12.5
|
5.6
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
15.1
|
14.1
|
5.6
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.0
|
6.7
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Espanyol
1-2
Alaves
Nov 2025
Alaves
2-1
Espanyol
Feb 2025
Alaves
0-1
Espanyol
Sep 2024
Espanyol
3-2
Alaves
May 2022
Alaves
2-1
Espanyol
Sep 2021
Espanyol
1-0
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.