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Sunday 26 August 2018, 19:15 RCDE Stadium Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
35% 30% 35%
Home win
35.0%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
34.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 35.0% 2.86
Draw 30.3% 3.30
Valencia 34.8% 2.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.88
Over 1.5 66.7% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.3% 3.00
Over 2.5 39.3% 2.55
Under 2.5 60.7% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.2% 5.21
Under 3.5 80.8% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.9% 12.69
Under 4.5 92.1% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.6% 2.15
No 53.4% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 65.2% 1.53
Espanyol / Valencia 69.7% 1.43
Draw / Valencia 65.0% 1.54

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
11.0
6.6
2.5
0.7
0.2
1
11.0
14.1
7.5
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
6.7
7.5
4.2
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
2.5
2.8
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.7
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Valencia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.