Sunday 29 April 2018, 19:30
Mestalla
Full time
56%
24%
20%
Home win
56.2%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
19.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.9% | 4.19 | — | — |
| Eibar | 19.9% | 5.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.3% | 15.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.3% | 4.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.3% | 6.12 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.7% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Valencia / Eibar | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Eibar | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.3
|
5.1
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.9
|
11.3
|
5.4
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.7
|
9.9
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.0
|
6.1
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
2.8
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Valencia
4-1
Eibar
Dec 2020
Eibar
0-0
Valencia
Jun 2020
Eibar
1-0
Valencia
Jan 2020
Valencia
1-0
Eibar
Apr 2019
Valencia
0-1
Eibar
Dec 2018
Eibar
1-1
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.