Saturday 21 April 2018, 17:15
Municipal de Balaídos
Full time
39%
24%
36%
Home win
39.5%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
36.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
| Valencia | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.4% | 22.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.6% | 6.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.2% | 4.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| No | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo / Draw | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo / Valencia | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.4
|
5.5
|
4.8
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
5.8
|
10.8
|
8.1
|
4.3
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.3
|
8.5
|
6.8
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
4.7
|
3.8
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
2.0
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Valencia
2-3
Celta Vigo
Jan 2026
Celta Vigo
4-1
Valencia
Feb 2025
Valencia
2-1
Celta Vigo
Aug 2024
Celta Vigo
3-1
Valencia
May 2024
Celta Vigo
2-2
Valencia
Nov 2023
Valencia
0-0
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.