Wednesday 18 April 2018, 20:30
Mestalla
Full time
46%
29%
25%
Home win
46.0%
Draw
29.2%
Away win
24.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.2% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Getafe | 24.7% | 4.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.1% | 9.04 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.5% | 5.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.1% | 12.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| No | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Valencia / Getafe | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Getafe | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.1
|
8.7
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.2
|
13.6
|
5.9
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
8.7
|
4.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.3
|
3.9
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Getafe
0-1
Valencia
Aug 2025
Valencia
3-0
Getafe
May 2025
Valencia
3-0
Getafe
Oct 2024
Getafe
1-1
Valencia
Mar 2024
Valencia
1-0
Getafe
Dec 2023
Getafe
1-0
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.