Sunday 8 April 2018, 21:45
Mestalla
Full time
57%
25%
18%
Home win
57.5%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
17.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 17.8% | 5.61 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.9% | 12.62 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.6% | 3.90 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.6% | 7.94 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Valencia / Espanyol | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.9
|
5.7
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.0
|
11.8
|
4.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.1
|
9.7
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.5
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Valencia
3-2
Espanyol
Sep 2025
Espanyol
2-2
Valencia
Apr 2025
Valencia
1-1
Espanyol
Dec 2024
Espanyol
1-1
Valencia
May 2023
Valencia
2-2
Espanyol
Oct 2022
Espanyol
2-2
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.