Wednesday 28 February 2018, 20:30
San Mamés
Full time
42%
28%
30%
Home win
42.0%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
30.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Valencia | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.40 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.5% | 8.03 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Valencia | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Valencia | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
7.9
|
5.1
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
13.1
|
7.3
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.5
|
8.9
|
5.2
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
4.2
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.5
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Athletic Club
0-1
Valencia
Sep 2025
Valencia
2-0
Athletic Club
May 2025
Valencia
0-1
Athletic Club
Aug 2024
Athletic Club
1-0
Valencia
Jan 2024
Valencia
1-0
Athletic Club
Oct 2023
Athletic Club
2-2
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.