Sunday 25 February 2018, 19:30
Mestalla
Full time
54%
21%
25%
Home win
53.7%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
25.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.3% | 4.71 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.1% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.9% | 34.07 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.0% | 9.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.5% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| No | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Valencia / Real Sociedad | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Sociedad | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.9
|
3.2
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
5.0
|
8.6
|
6.0
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.0
|
9.0
|
6.7
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
6.7
|
5.0
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
2.5
|
3.7
|
2.8
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.6
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Real Sociedad
3-4
Valencia
Aug 2025
Valencia
1-1
Real Sociedad
Jan 2025
Valencia
1-0
Real Sociedad
Sep 2024
Real Sociedad
3-0
Valencia
May 2024
Real Sociedad
1-0
Valencia
Sep 2023
Valencia
0-1
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.