Saturday 7 April 2018, 17:15
Municipal de Balaídos
Full time
43%
24%
33%
Home win
42.9%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
32.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Sevilla | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.4% | 22.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.7% | 6.36 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.7% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.0% | 4.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| No | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo / Draw | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo / Sevilla | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Sevilla | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.4
|
5.2
|
4.4
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
6.1
|
10.7
|
7.7
|
3.9
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.9
|
8.9
|
6.7
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
5.2
|
3.9
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
2.3
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Celta Vigo
1-0
Sevilla
Jan 2026
Sevilla
0-1
Celta Vigo
May 2025
Celta Vigo
3-2
Sevilla
Dec 2024
Sevilla
1-0
Celta Vigo
Mar 2024
Sevilla
1-2
Celta Vigo
Nov 2023
Celta Vigo
1-1
Sevilla
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.