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Saturday 31 March 2018, 21:45 Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Full time
2–2
HT 1–0
14% 19% 67%
Home win
13.8%
Draw
19.3%
Away win
66.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla 13.8% 7.22
Draw 19.3% 5.19
Barcelona 66.9% 1.49

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.59
Over 1.5 84.5% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.5% 6.45
Over 2.5 63.8% 1.57
Under 2.5 36.2% 2.76
Over 3.5 41.7% 2.40
Under 3.5 58.3% 1.71
Over 4.5 23.5% 4.25
Under 4.5 76.5% 1.31

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.6% 1.77
No 43.4% 2.30

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla / Draw 33.1% 3.02
Sevilla / Barcelona 80.7% 1.24
Draw / Barcelona 86.2% 1.16

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
8.1
10.0
7.7
4.5
2.1
1
3.1
8.9
9.7
7.5
4.3
2.0
2
1.8
4.1
4.7
3.7
2.1
1.0
3
0.6
1.3
1.5
1.2
0.7
0.3
4
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sevilla goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.