Sunday 18 March 2018, 17:15
Camp Nou
Full time
79%
15%
6%
Home win
78.8%
Draw
14.9%
Away win
6.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.9% | 6.71 | — | — |
| Athletic Club | 6.3% | 15.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.1% | 5.53 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.2% | 4.96 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
| No | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Athletic Club | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / Athletic Club | 21.2% | 4.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.9
|
7.1
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.2
|
8.4
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.9
|
7.0
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.4
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.7
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Athletic Club
0-1
Barcelona
Nov 2025
Barcelona
4-0
Athletic Club
May 2025
Athletic Club
0-3
Barcelona
Aug 2024
Barcelona
2-1
Athletic Club
Mar 2024
Athletic Club
0-0
Barcelona
Oct 2023
Barcelona
1-0
Athletic Club
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.