Sunday 15 April 2018, 13:00
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Full time
49%
29%
22%
Home win
48.7%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
22.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 48.7% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Alaves | 22.3% | 4.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.4% | 8.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.9% | 5.30 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.7% | 12.99 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar / Draw | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Eibar / Alaves | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.4
|
8.3
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.0
|
13.4
|
5.4
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.2
|
8.7
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
4.0
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Eibar
3-0
Alaves
Dec 2020
Alaves
2-1
Eibar
Feb 2020
Alaves
2-1
Eibar
Nov 2019
Eibar
0-2
Alaves
Mar 2019
Alaves
1-1
Eibar
Nov 2018
Eibar
2-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.