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Saturday 18 August 2018, 19:15 Municipal de Balaídos Full time
43% 28% 29%
Home win
43.1%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
29.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo 43.1% 2.32
Draw 27.8% 3.59
Espanyol 29.0% 3.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.68
Over 1.5 73.0% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.0% 3.71
Over 2.5 46.9% 2.13
Under 2.5 53.1% 1.88
Over 3.5 25.3% 3.95
Under 3.5 74.7% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.6% 8.65
Under 4.5 88.4% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.0% 1.92
No 48.0% 2.09

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo / Draw 71.0% 1.41
Celta Vigo / Espanyol 72.2% 1.39
Draw / Espanyol 56.9% 1.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
8.0
4.9
1.9
0.5
0.1
1
10.4
13.3
7.0
2.6
0.7
0.2
2
7.9
8.9
5.0
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
3.8
4.2
2.4
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
1.3
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Celta Vigo goals. Columns: Espanyol goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.