Saturday 12 May 2018, 21:45
Santiago Bernabéu
Full time
79%
12%
9%
Home win
78.7%
Draw
12.5%
Away win
8.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.5% | 8.01 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 8.8% | 11.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.5% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.5% | 66.53 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.4% | 15.66 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 18.6% | 5.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| No | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid / Draw | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Real Madrid / Celta Vigo | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 21.3% | 4.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.5
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
3.8
|
4.8
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.7
|
7.4
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
8.1
|
4.5
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
6.0
|
6.6
|
3.7
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
3.9
|
4.4
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Dec 2025
Real Madrid
0-2
Celta Vigo
May 2025
Real Madrid
3-2
Celta Vigo
Oct 2024
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Mar 2024
Real Madrid
4-0
Celta Vigo
Aug 2023
Celta Vigo
0-1
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.