Saturday 28 April 2018, 21:45
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
55%
24%
21%
Home win
54.8%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
21.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 21.0% | 4.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.4% | 4.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.3% | 6.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Celta Vigo | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
5.3
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
11.5
|
5.7
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
9.9
|
5.2
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.7
|
6.0
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
2.7
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Villarreal
2-1
Celta Vigo
Aug 2025
Celta Vigo
1-1
Villarreal
Apr 2025
Celta Vigo
3-0
Villarreal
Aug 2024
Villarreal
4-3
Celta Vigo
May 2024
Celta Vigo
3-2
Villarreal
Dec 2023
Villarreal
3-2
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.