Tuesday 17 April 2018, 22:30
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
58%
27%
15%
Home win
57.8%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
15.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
| Leganes | 15.1% | 6.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.0% | 8.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.6% | 5.68 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.0% | 14.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.1% | 2.63 | — | — |
| No | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Leganes | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Leganes | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.0
|
6.7
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.6
|
11.9
|
3.7
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.2
|
8.6
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.7
|
4.4
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Villarreal
3-0
Leganes
Dec 2024
Leganes
2-5
Villarreal
Mar 2020
Villarreal
1-2
Leganes
Sep 2019
Leganes
0-3
Villarreal
Apr 2019
Villarreal
2-1
Leganes
Sep 2018
Leganes
0-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.