Skip to content
Saturday 5 May 2018, 19:30 Municipal de Balaídos Full time
63% 21% 17%
Home win
62.5%
Draw
20.7%
Away win
16.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo 62.5% 1.60
Draw 20.7% 4.82
Deportivo La Coruna 16.7% 5.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.69
Over 1.5 84.1% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.9% 6.29
Over 2.5 63.1% 1.58
Under 2.5 36.9% 2.71
Over 3.5 40.9% 2.44
Under 3.5 59.1% 1.69
Over 4.5 22.9% 4.37
Under 4.5 77.1% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.6% 1.71
No 41.4% 2.42

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo / Draw 83.3% 1.20
Celta Vigo / Deportivo La Coruna 79.3% 1.26
Draw / Deportivo La Coruna 37.5% 2.67

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
3.6
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
7.9
9.5
4.8
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
9.3
9.9
5.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
6.8
7.2
3.8
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
3.7
3.9
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
5
1.6
1.7
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Celta Vigo goals. Columns: Deportivo La Coruna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.