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Saturday 14 April 2018, 21:45 San Mamés Full time
64% 23% 13%
Home win
63.7%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
13.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club 63.7% 1.57
Draw 22.9% 4.36
Deportivo La Coruna 13.4% 7.49

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.26
Over 1.5 73.6% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.4% 3.78
Over 2.5 47.8% 2.09
Under 2.5 52.2% 1.91
Over 3.5 26.1% 3.84
Under 3.5 73.9% 1.35
Over 4.5 12.0% 8.31
Under 4.5 88.0% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.2% 2.26
No 55.8% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club / Draw 86.6% 1.15
Athletic Club / Deportivo La Coruna 77.1% 1.30
Draw / Deportivo La Coruna 36.3% 2.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
4.9
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
13.4
10.8
3.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
13.0
9.5
3.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
8.1
5.9
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
3.7
2.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.4
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Athletic Club goals. Columns: Deportivo La Coruna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.