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Tuesday 17 April 2018, 20:30 Estadio de Riazor Full time
31% 25% 44%
Home win
30.8%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
44.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Deportivo La Coruna 30.8% 3.25
Draw 25.1% 3.98
Sevilla 44.1% 2.27

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.43
Over 1.5 81.4% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.6% 5.37
Over 2.5 58.6% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.4% 2.42
Over 3.5 36.2% 2.76
Under 3.5 63.8% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.2% 5.21
Under 4.5 80.8% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.2% 1.63
No 38.8% 2.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Deportivo La Coruna / Draw 55.9% 1.79
Deportivo La Coruna / Sevilla 74.9% 1.34
Draw / Sevilla 69.2% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
7.3
6.7
3.7
1.6
0.5
1
5.9
11.6
9.1
5.1
2.1
0.7
2
4.5
7.5
6.3
3.5
1.5
0.5
3
2.0
3.4
2.9
1.6
0.7
0.2
4
0.7
1.2
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Deportivo La Coruna goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.