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Saturday 28 April 2018, 14:00 RCDE Stadium Full time
57% 26% 16%
Home win
57.4%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
16.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol 57.4% 1.74
Draw 26.3% 3.81
Las Palmas 16.3% 6.12

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.6% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.4% 9.62
Over 1.5 68.3% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.7% 3.16
Over 2.5 41.2% 2.42
Under 2.5 58.8% 1.70
Over 3.5 20.7% 4.83
Under 3.5 79.3% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.8% 11.42
Under 4.5 91.2% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.2% 2.37
No 57.8% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Espanyol / Draw 83.7% 1.20
Espanyol / Las Palmas 73.7% 1.36
Draw / Las Palmas 42.6% 2.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.4
6.4
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
14.8
12.1
4.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.4
9.1
3.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
6.6
4.8
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.6
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Espanyol goals. Columns: Las Palmas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.