Friday 14 October 2016, 21:45
Gran Canaria
Full time
57%
21%
22%
Home win
56.9%
Draw
21.4%
Away win
21.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
| Espanyol | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.6% | 27.63 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.3% | 7.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.5% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| No | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas / Draw | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Las Palmas / Espanyol | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Espanyol | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.6
|
3.5
|
2.6
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.2
|
9.3
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.3
|
9.5
|
6.2
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
6.9
|
4.5
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
3.8
|
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Espanyol
2-0
Las Palmas
Dec 2024
Las Palmas
1-0
Espanyol
Apr 2018
Espanyol
1-1
Las Palmas
Dec 2017
Las Palmas
2-2
Espanyol
Mar 2017
Espanyol
4-3
Las Palmas
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.