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Saturday 12 May 2018, 19:30 Estadi Montilivi Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
36% 25% 38%
Home win
36.4%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
38.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Girona 36.4% 2.75
Draw 25.4% 3.93
Valencia 38.2% 2.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.45
Over 1.5 81.4% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.6% 5.38
Over 2.5 58.7% 1.70
Under 2.5 41.3% 2.42
Over 3.5 36.3% 2.76
Under 3.5 63.7% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.2% 5.20
Under 4.5 80.8% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.8% 1.62
No 38.2% 2.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Girona / Draw 61.8% 1.62
Girona / Valencia 74.6% 1.34
Draw / Valencia 63.6% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
6.7
5.7
2.9
1.1
0.3
1
6.5
11.7
8.5
4.4
1.7
0.5
2
5.4
8.3
6.4
3.3
1.3
0.4
3
2.7
4.2
3.2
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
1.0
1.6
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Girona goals. Columns: Valencia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.