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Sunday 29 April 2018, 13:00 Coliseum Alfonso Pérez Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
52% 28% 20%
Home win
51.9%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
20.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Getafe 51.9% 1.93
Draw 27.9% 3.58
Girona 20.2% 4.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.25
Over 1.5 67.5% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.5% 3.08
Over 2.5 40.3% 2.48
Under 2.5 59.7% 1.67
Over 3.5 20.0% 5.01
Under 3.5 80.0% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.03
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.9% 2.28
No 56.1% 1.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Getafe / Draw 79.8% 1.25
Getafe / Girona 72.1% 1.39
Draw / Girona 48.1% 2.08

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
7.5
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
14.1
12.9
5.0
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
11.0
9.0
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
5.4
4.4
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.0
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Getafe goals. Columns: Girona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.