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Sunday 8 April 2018, 19:30 Anoeta Full time
45% 24% 31%
Home win
45.3%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
31.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad 45.3% 2.21
Draw 23.7% 4.22
Girona 31.0% 3.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.9% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.1% 24.29
Over 1.5 85.2% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.8% 6.78
Over 2.5 64.9% 1.54
Under 2.5 35.1% 2.85
Over 3.5 42.9% 2.33
Under 3.5 57.1% 1.75
Over 4.5 24.5% 4.08
Under 4.5 75.5% 1.33

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 66.0% 1.52
No 34.0% 2.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Sociedad / Draw 69.0% 1.45
Real Sociedad / Girona 76.3% 1.31
Draw / Girona 54.7% 1.83

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.1
4.7
4.0
2.0
0.7
0.2
1
5.9
10.4
7.3
3.7
1.4
0.4
2
6.0
9.0
6.8
3.4
1.3
0.4
3
3.7
5.5
4.1
2.1
0.8
0.2
4
1.7
2.6
1.9
1.0
0.4
0.1
5
0.6
0.9
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Real Sociedad goals. Columns: Girona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.